Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.766979 2.904499 3.048663 3.211680 3.391664 3.585205 3.810275
2025-07-06 2.504156 2.687482 2.887988 3.125601 3.402275 3.717862 4.110508
2025-07-13 2.392590 2.618907 2.876152 3.194832 3.585962 4.060410 4.696683
2025-07-20 2.275252 2.530158 2.829143 3.213679 3.708061 4.342952 5.259924
2025-07-27 2.222547 2.510737 2.859659 3.326355 3.957454 4.822639 6.191389
2025-08-03 2.155822 2.467105 2.854115 3.389538 4.147143 5.251951 7.170165
2025-08-10 2.058377 2.376986 2.780591 3.352800 4.190378 5.472331 7.879001
2025-08-17 1.939290 2.251528 2.651521 3.227116 4.087627 5.446291 8.135904
2025-08-24 1.851617 2.161737 2.563687 3.151263 4.049848 5.518188 8.608811
2025-08-31 1.793252 2.106919 2.518952 3.132390 4.096149 5.738621 9.482053
2025-09-07 1.724297 2.034508 2.445688 3.065529 4.057724 5.800200 10.017714
2025-09-14 1.658351 1.963233 2.370238 2.989913 3.996946 5.809931 10.432487
2025-09-21 1.579749 1.876494 2.275507 2.889222 3.902308 5.774693 10.831365
2025-09-28 1.521814 1.815923 2.215285 2.838152 3.888988 5.905264 11.845816
2025-10-05 1.504597 1.810324 2.232990 2.909561 4.099591 6.560724 15.376526
2025-10-12 1.475001 1.786037 2.222068 2.934489 4.230791 7.090263 19.567856
2025-10-19 1.467488 1.792200 2.256068 3.035789 4.525054 8.149953 31.323089
2025-10-26 1.448946 1.781516 2.263790 3.093354 4.743853 9.136551 55.472191
2025-11-02 1.411351 1.741552 2.224272 3.065115 4.776750 9.579929 88.670007
2025-11-09 1.358504 1.677504 2.144577 2.960157 4.627843 9.357927 96.727844
2025-11-16 1.318132 1.630513 2.089702 2.896520 4.565372 9.431965 139.086636
2025-11-23 1.291011 1.602063 2.062601 2.881076 4.610624 9.930323 618.622309
2025-11-30 1.256377 1.561402 2.014539 2.824198 4.552640 10.010253 NaN